Stock Market Recovers, USD Strong, Gold and Oil Continue Trend

Release Time: 10:00, November 24, 2025
Author: Mr. Tony

MARKET OVERVIEW

1. Stock Market

  • Vietnam Market: Although it briefly dropped below MA(20) around 1,645 points, it quickly recovered, indicating that buying demand remains supportive. Slightly higher liquidity compared to the previous session reflects efforts to maintain the market around MA(20). The breakout signal above MA(20) from November 17, 2025, remains intact, and the recent correction is insufficient to negate the recovery trend formed since November 12. If liquidity remains stable, the market may continue its upward movement in the near term.

  • U.S. Market: On November 21, the U.S. market recorded strong recovery with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up ~1.1% to 46,245 points, S&P 500 up ~1.0%, and Nasdaq Composite up ~0.9%. Gains were driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in the winter, with market-implied probabilities rising to ~72% from ~39% previously.

2. Forex

  • AUD/USD: Main trend is down. Daily support at 0.64200, resistance at 0.64700. Possible counter-trend buy if price breaks daily resistance.

  • EUR/USD: Main trend is down. Daily support at 1.14950, resistance at 1.15500. Possible counter-trend buy if price breaks 1.15250.

3. Gold (XAU/USD)
Gold continues to trend lower as USD remains strong and investors avoid safe-haven assets. If the price fails to reclaim the 4040–4060 zone, selling pressure may push gold to retest 4050–4100. The trend remains weak, with rallies mostly technical.

4. Oil (XTI/USD)
XTI/USD is at a strong support zone. Today, buying positions may be considered if price breaks 58.200.

5. Crypto
BTC is recovering after a sharp drop from 93,000 to 80,000 last Friday. Currently at 88,000. If BTC rises above 93,000, the downtrend may end. Otherwise, 80,000 is not yet a strong support, and further decline is possible.

TRADING PLAN

  • GOLD: Sell stop 4028, stop loss 4078, take profit 3990

  • NZD/USD: Buy stop 0.56180, stop loss 0.55830, take profit 0.56880

KEY EVENTS TODAY

Monday, November 24

All day:

  • JPY – Bank Holiday

16:00

  • EUR – German Ifo Business Climate

    • Actual: 88.6

    • Forecast: 88.4

20:30

  • CAD – Corporate Profits q/q

    • Actual: -1.7%

21:00

  • CNY – CB Leading Index m/m

    • Actual: -0.1%

  • EUR – Belgian NBB Business Climate

    • Actual: -8.7

    • Forecast: -9.1

DISCLAIMER

The above analysis represents only the personal views of analyst Tony from Lotus and is not a basis for actual trading.
Lotus provides only technical analysis and financial training for students.
Lotus does not represent any brokerage or asset management organization.
Lotus does not manage students’ funds.