New Year Explosion: BTC Executes a Parabolic Leap, VN-Index Nears Psychological Resistance

Release Time: 10:00 AM, January 05, 2026 Issued by: Mr. Loki

MARKET OVERVIEW 1. Stock Market:

  • Vietnam Market: The market continues to recover, approaching the 1,800-point mark. Liquidity has improved slightly, showing increased profit-taking pressure as the 2025 fiscal year ends, but it hasn't created significant stress yet. The index is entering a critical resistance zone of 1,750–1,800 points—a short-term peak area over the last three months where supply is expected to rise and clash with supporting cash flows. Supply-demand dynamics in this zone will be key to determining the next trend.

  • US Market: On the first trading day of 2026, Wall Street started on a slightly positive note as major indices adjusted after the holidays. The S&P 500 rose ~0.2% to 6,858.47, the Dow Jones increased ~0.66% to 48,382.39, while the Nasdaq Composite edged down ~0.03% to 23,235.63 due to pressure on Big Tech amid low liquidity. The session reflected cautious sentiment but maintained momentum from semiconductor and industrial stocks.

2. Foreign Exchange (Forex):

  • USD/CHF: Primary trend is bullish. Daily Resistance: 0.79300; Daily Support: 0.79000. Consider a Long position if the price breaks above daily resistance.

  • NZD/USD: Primary trend is bearish. Daily Resistance: 0.58000; Daily Support: 0.57600. Consider a Short position if the price breaks below daily support.

3. Gold:

  • Movement: Matching BTC’s momentum, Gold saw an impressive recovery, climbing to $4,394.

  • Structure: Price has escaped the "muddy" bottom zone and is now sitting firmly above the EMA support cluster. The short-term EMA has crossed up, confirming a shift from Bearish to Bullish in the short term.

4. Oil:

  • XTI/USD: Primary trend is bearish. Daily Resistance: 57.90; Daily Support: 56.80. Consider a Long position if the price breaks above daily resistance.

5. Bitcoin:

  • Movement: BTC executed an unstoppable parabolic move. A massive green candle surged from $90k to near $92,862.

  • Structure: Bulls are displaying absolute dominance. Price has extended far beyond the EMA supports, indicating extreme market FOMO. Previous resistance zones have been completely shattered.

RECOMMENDATIONS:

  • USD/CHF: Buy Stop at 0.79400 | SL: 0.79100 | TP: 0.80000

  • GBP/USD: Sell at 1.34335 | SL: 1.24809 | TP: 1.33653

NOTABLE EVENTS TODAY:

  • 10:00 PM: US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 48.3 | Forecast: 48.2)

  • 10:00 PM: US ISM Manufacturing Prices (Actual: 59.0 | Forecast: 58.5)

DISCLAIMER:

  • These views represent the personal opinion of analyst Loki (Lotus) and are not a basis for actual market entry.

  • Lotus only provides technical analysis and trading education.

  • Lotus does not represent any securities or asset management firms.

  • Lotus does not manage student funds.