News

Release Time: 10:00 AM, July 9, 2025
Issued by: Mr. Tony

MARKET OVERVIEW

1. Stock Market:

• Vietnam Market: The market continues its upward trend, approaching the resistance zone of 1,420–1,430 points. Despite a slight drop in liquidity, capital inflows remain positive, indicating buying demand is still supporting the market. However, some selling pressure and sideways movement may appear in the 1,420–1,430 range. Supply-demand dynamics in this zone will determine the next direction.

• U.S. Market: The S&P 500 fell slightly by ~0.1%, Dow Jones lost ~0.4%, Nasdaq remained nearly unchanged, while the Russell 2000 rose +0.7% thanks to gains in small-cap stocks. Sentiment was cautious due to news of the U.S. imposing new tariffs on Japan, South Korea, and other countries effective August 1. Cautious investors are advised to observe price actions and liquidity within the current consolidation zone.

2. Forex:

• EUR/USD: Downtrend. Short positions can be considered today. Daily resistance: 1.17260

• USD/JPY: Uptrend. Long positions can be considered today. Daily support: 146.500

3. Gold:

• Gold is trading around $3,331.85/oz, slightly down ~0.1% from the previous day amid rising trade tensions between the U.S. and countries like Japan and South Korea. About 25% of the price increase since the beginning of the year up to July 8 has been due to global economic concerns and geopolitical instability. Gold previously reached over $3,500/oz earlier this summer. Yesterday, it dropped ~0.7% to $3,311.09 after the U.S. delayed imposing new tariffs.
  Summary: Gold is hovering around $3,332, influenced by tariffs and market moves, but remains in a long-term uptrend due to its safe-haven role.

4. Oil:

• XTI/USD is in an uptrend. Long positions can be considered today. Daily support: 68.00

5. Crypto:

• Bitcoin (BTC) is currently around $108,770, with intraday movement between $107,647 – $109,122, up +$944 (~+0.9%) from the previous day. This reflects mildly positive sentiment after recent macro volatility. Gold is consolidating near $3,332 after a strong rally, maintaining its role as an attractive hedge. Bitcoin’s ~1% gain shows capital is slightly rotating back into riskier assets as the crypto market shows signs of stabilization.

TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS

1. Vietnam Stock:

TLG – Buy Recommendation (July 9, 2025)
Entry price: 54,000 – 55,300 VND
Target 1: 59,000 VND
Target 2: 63,500 VND
Stop loss: 51,300 VND

2. USD/JPY

• Trend: Uptrend

• Buy at: 147.000

• Stop loss: 146.700

• Take profit: 147.600

  

KEY EVENTS TODAY

2:00 AM
USD – Consumer Credit m/m
Actual: $5.1B | Forecast: $10.4B | Previous: $16.9B

3:30 AM
USD – API Weekly Statistical Bulletin

6:00 AM
AUD – RBA Deputy Governor Hauser Speaks

6:50 AM
JPY – M2 Money Stock y/y
Actual: 0.9% | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: 0.6%

8:30 AM
CNY – CPI y/y
Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: -0.1% | Previous: -0.1%
CNY – PPI y/y
Actual: -3.6% | Forecast: -3.2% | Previous: -3.3%

9:00 AM
NZD – Official Cash Rate
Actual: 3.25% | Forecast: 3.25% | Previous: 3.25%
NZD – RBNZ Rate Statement

12:30 PM
AUD – RBA Assistant Governor Hunter Speaks

1:00 PM
JPY – Prelim Machine Tool Orders y/y
Actual: 3.4%

4:30 PM
GBP – BOE Financial Stability Report
GBP – FPC Meeting Minutes
GBP – FPC Statement
GBP – 10-year Bond Auction
Yield: 4.59% | Bid-to-cover ratio: 2.9

7:15 PM
EUR – German Buba President Nagel Speaks

9:00 PM
USD – Final Wholesale Inventories m/m
Actual: -0.2% | Forecast: -0.3%

9:30 PM
USD – Crude Oil Inventories
Actual: -1.7M barrels | Previous: +3.8M barrels

DISCLAIMER

• The above analysis reflects the personal view of analyst Tony from Lotus and should not be used as the sole basis for actual trading decisions.

• Lotus provides technical analysis and trading education only.

• Lotus does not represent any securities firm or asset management company.

• Lotus does not manage funds on behalf of students or clients.