News

Release Time: 10:00, February 04, 2026 Issuer: Mr. Loki

MARKET OVERVIEW 1. Stock Market:

Vietnam Market: The market continues to weaken following the cooling signal at the end of the previous session, temporarily losing the 1,800-point support zone. Increased liquidity indicates that supply pressure remains present, though there is a struggle with bottom-fishing cash flow. Dropping below 1,800 points has pushed the market into a short-term oversold state; however, this movement is primarily driven by the VIC group, while the MA(50) still acts as support, suggesting the imbalance may only be temporary. If the market quickly returns above 1,800, the possibility of forming an accumulation base remains.

US Market: In the February 4 session, US stocks showed divergence and struggled as investors took short-term profits following a previous recovery. The S&P 500 remained mostly flat around ~6,970 points, the Dow Jones adjusted slightly by -0.2% to ~49,300, while the Nasdaq Composite maintained a slight gain of ~+0.1% around ~23,610 thanks to support from big tech. Liquidity stayed at an average level, reflecting a cautious sentiment as the market awaits further signals from economic data and monetary policy.

2. Foreign Exchange:

GBP/USD: Primary trend is bearish. Daily resistance: 1.37300, Daily support: 1.36200. Consider a short position if the price breaks the daily support.

NZD/USD: Primary trend is sideways. Daily resistance: 0.60600, Daily support: 0.59900. Consider a short position if the price breaks the daily support.

3. Gold (XAU/USD):

Movement: "Broken wings" right at the doorstep of heaven. After attempting to touch the $5,075 zone, Gold failed to maintain its momentum and reversed sharply. It is currently trading around $4.918, quickly losing the psychological $5,000 mark.

Structure: The "Sustainable Growth" model has been shattered. In its place, a Lower Highs structure is clearly forming. The crash from $5,025 back below $4.920 shows that the Sellers are in complete control.

Key Zone: The $4,898 mark (previously a hard floor) is now under serious threat. If the 15m candle closes decisively below this zone, Gold will confirm a deeper correction toward $4,850.

4. Oil (XTI/USD):

Trend: Primary trend is bullish. Daily resistance: 65.50, Daily support: 62.90. Consider a long position if the price breaks the daily resistance.

5. Bitcoin (BTC/USD):

Movement: A "Free Fall" scenario is unfolding. There was no Pinbar rejection strong enough to save the situation. BTC has pierced the $73,000 support and is currently bottom-fishing at $72,167. The decline features long-bodied candles constantly hugging the lower band.

Structure: Buyers have completely "vanished." A tight structure of Lower Highs and Lower Lows is established on the 15m timeframe. All short-term recovery efforts are extinguished upon hitting upper resistance zones.

Outlook: The trend ribbon has firmly turned Red and is sloping down steeply. BTC is in an "oversold" state but shows no signs of reversal. The next psychological support investors are anxiously watching is around $71,500 - $70,000.

RECOMMENDATION:

AUD/USD: Sell Stop at 0.69700, SL: 0.70200, TP: 0.68800.

NOTABLE EVENTS TODAY:

20:30 (VN Time): Unemployment Claims (Forecast: 212K, Previous: 209K).

22:00 (VN Time): JOLTS Job Openings (Forecast: ~7.536M or around 7.1M, Previous: 7.146M).

DISCLAIMER:

These views represent the personal opinion of analyst Loki (Lotus) and are not a basis for actual market participation.

Lotus provides technical analysis and trading education only.

Lotus does not represent any securities or asset management companies and does not manage student funds.