Is tonight "Liberation Day" or "Doomsday" for global trade?

Release Time: 10:00 AM, April 2, 2025

Issuer: Mr. Tony

MARKET OVERVIEW

1. Stock Market:

  • Vietnam Market: Today, a short-term price increase is expected, but it is advisable to avoid buying stocks as the main trend remains downward. Investors should wait for stronger bullish signals before entering the market.

  • U.S. Market: Major indices (DJI, NDX, SPX) traded within a narrow range yesterday, awaiting the key tariff announcement tonight. If the news is favorable, it could drive stock prices higher.

2. Forex:

  • EUR/USD: The main trend is downward, but in the short term, the pair is forming a price consolidation zone. This area is crucial for determining either a trend continuation or reversal. It is recommended to avoid trading this pair today.

  • USD/JPY: A weak short-term uptrend is in place, with prices nearing the 150.00 resistance level. Trading this pair is not recommended today.

3. Gold:

  • XAU/USD has shown signs of a short-term price correction. The 3,140 USD level is considered a short-term peak. Trading at this time carries risks for both long and short positions. Tonight’s Trump tariff news is expected to cause significant volatility in gold prices, with a clearer trend likely to emerge tomorrow.

4. Oil:

  • XTI/USD is expected to undergo a short-term price correction today. Short positions can be considered, with a daily resistance level at 71.3 USD.

5. Crypto:

  • BTC/USD has a short-term bullish trend. Long positions can be considered, with a daily support level at 84,000 USD.


TRADING PLAN

  • XTI/USD

    • Trend: Short-term downtrend

    • Recommendation: Sell at 71.02, Stop Loss: 71.37, Take Profit: 70.32


KEY EVENTS TODAY

1:45 PM

  • EUR - French Government Budget Balance: -30.2B | Forecast: -17.3B

2:00 PM

  • EUR - Spanish Unemployment Change: -2.5K | Forecast: -6.0K

Tentative

  • EUR - German 10-Year Bond Auction: 2.92% | Previous: 2.1%

7:15 PM

  • USD - ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: 118K | Forecast: 77K

9:00 PM

  • USD - Factory Orders (MoM): 0.5% | Previous: 1.7%

9:30 PM

  • USD - Crude Oil Inventories


DISCLAIMER

  • The above analysis reflects the personal views of analyst Tony from Lotus and should not be considered a basis for actual market participation.

  • Lotus only provides technical trading analysis and trading education for students.

  • Lotus does not represent any securities firm or asset management company.

  • Lotus does not manage students' funds.

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