News

Release Time: 10:00 AM, June 18, 2025
Publisher: Mr. Tony

MARKET OVERVIEW

1. Stock Market:

Vietnam Market:
The market continues to climb but is facing resistance around the 1,350-point level — the most recent local peak. Declining liquidity suggests that supply is not yet strong and cash flow remains hesitant, awaiting clearer signals. The 1,350-point level remains a critical testing zone in the upcoming sessions, and supply-demand dynamics here will determine the next market direction.

U.S. Market:
The Dow Jones (DJI) dropped to 42,215.80 points, indicating continued capital rotation into large-cap, stable stocks. The S&P 500 fell to 5,447.87 points (-0.84%), and the Nasdaq also declined, reflecting profit-taking pressure in tech stocks following a strong rally. Market sentiment is still closely watching signals from the Fed and upcoming economic data releases.

2. Forex:

• EUR/USD: Short-term bearish trend. Selling opportunities today. Daily resistance: 1.15300

• USD/JPY: Short-term bullish trend. Buying opportunities today. Daily support: 144.800

3. Gold:

• Current Price: Around $3,300/ounce, slightly down from recent highs

• Market Development: After a strong surge due to Middle East tensions, gold has slightly corrected as the USD recovers and other safe-haven assets become more attractive.

• Trend: Citi recently lowered its short-term forecast to the $3,300 range but maintains a broader outlook of $3,100–3,500 by year-end. In the medium term, if geopolitical tensions persist or the Fed adopts a more dovish stance, gold may rebound toward $3,400–3,500. Conversely, a strengthening global economy and USD could pressure gold below $3,000 by 2026.

4. Oil:

• XTI/USD: Bullish trend. Awaiting price pullback. Trading should be limited today.

5. Crypto:

• Current Price: Trading around $106,950, slightly down after testing the resistance zone near $108,000

• Analysis: BTC remains above the support area of $105,900 — a key technical level. The narrow trading range suggests cautious market reactions after failing to break through the $108k–110k supply zone. If a breakout occurs, the next target is $110,000–112,000; otherwise, a correction may pull prices back to the $105,000 region.

TRADE PLAN & OUTLOOK

1. Gold:

• Trend: Short-term pullback

• Recommendation: Sell at $3,375–3,380

• Stop-loss: $3,393

• Take-profit targets: $3,345–3,328

• 

Vietnam Stocks:

• VLB Buy Recommendation (June 18, 2025):
  Entry Price: 47,000–48,000 VND
  Target 1: 52,000 VND
  Target 2: 55,000 VND
  Stop-loss: 45,400 VND

• 

KEY EVENTS TODAY

1:00 PM – GBP (United Kingdom)

• CPI y/y: 3.3% (previous: 3.5%)

• Core CPI y/y: 3.5% (previous: 3.8%)

• RPI y/y: 4.2% (previous: 4.5%)

June 18–20 – CNY (China)

• Foreign Direct Investment (YTD y/y): -10.9%

3:00 PM – EUR (Eurozone)

• Current Account: €40.4B (previous: €50.9B)

3:30 PM – GBP (United Kingdom)

• House Price Index (HPI) y/y: 5.6% (previous: 6.4%)

4:00 PM – EUR (Eurozone)

• Final Core CPI y/y: 2.3% (forecast & previous: 2.3%)

• Final CPI y/y: 1.9% (forecast & previous: 1.9%)

Tentative – EUR (Eurozone)

• German 30-Year Bond Auction: Yield 3.12% | Bid-to-cover ratio: 2.3

7:30 PM – USD (United States)

• Unemployment Claims: 246K (previous: 248K)

• Building Permits: 1.42M (previous: 1.41M)

• Housing Starts: 1.35M (previous: 1.36M)

9:30 PM – AUD (Australia)

• CB Leading Index m/m: -0.4%

9:30 PM – USD (United States)

• Crude Oil Inventories: -2.3M barrels (previous: -3.6M barrels)

10:15 PM – CAD (Canada)

• BoC Governor Macklem Speaks

11:00 PM – USD (United States)

• Natural Gas Storage

DISCLAIMER

• The above analysis represents the personal views of analyst Tony from Lotus and should not be considered as a basis for real market participation.

• Lotus provides only trading technical analysis and education for learners.

• Lotus does not represent any brokerage firm or asset management company.

• Lotus does not manage clients' or learners' funds.