Global Markets Hold High Expectations – Capital Flows Are Returning

Release Time: 10:00 AM, May 14, 2025
Released by: Mr. Tony

MARKET OVERVIEW

1. Stock Market:

  • Vietnam Market:
    The Vietnamese stock market maintains its upward momentum and is approaching the psychological level of 1,300 points, supported by positive cash flow and improved liquidity. Breaking through the 1,263 – 1,273 zone has paved the way for further gains, with expectations toward the 1,300 – 1,310 range. However, this is also a zone where strong selling pressure may emerge, potentially affecting the next trend.

  • US Market:
    On May 13, U.S. stocks continued to rise, supported by inflation data coming in lower than expected, boosting investor sentiment regarding the potential for the Fed to cut interest rates soon. The Nasdaq rose 1.6% thanks to the tech sector, while the S&P 500 gained 0.7%. The Dow Jones edged down slightly due to pressure from healthcare stocks. In light of positive inflation data and expectations of monetary easing, investors may prioritize tech and consumer discretionary stocks. However, it is advisable to maintain moderate equity exposure and closely monitor Fed policy updates and upcoming macroeconomic data for effective risk management.

2. Forex:

  • USD/JPY: Short-term downtrend. Selling positions may be considered today.

    • Resistance for the day: 148.163

3. Gold:

  • Spot Gold Price: Trading around $3,250.87/ounce, up $24.88/ounce from the previous session.

    • Reason: Global gold prices rose slightly due to a weaker USD and increased demand for safe-haven assets.

4. Oil:

  • Trend: Overall bullish trend; however, a short-term pullback is expected today.

    • Recommendation: Limit trading.

5. Crypto:

  • BTC/USD Price: Currently trading around $103,915, up 1.72% over the past 24 hours.

    • Market Sentiment: Bitcoin continues to rally, breaking above the $100,000 mark thanks to a recovery in the crypto market and growing investor optimism.

TRADE IDEAS & STRATEGY

1. Vietnamese Stocks:

  • CTD Recommendation: BUY

    • Entry Price: 80,000 – 82,000 VND

    • Target 1: 88,000 VND

    • Target 2: 96,000 VND

    • Stop Loss: 76,800 VND

2. XAU/USD:

  • Trend: Recovery

  • Recommendation: Buy at 3,235

    • Stop Loss: 3,220

    • Take Profit: 3,260 – 3,275

KEY EVENT TODAY

8:30 AM – AUD (Australian Dollar)

  • Wage Price Index q/q:

    • Actual: 0.9%

    • Forecast: 0.8%

    • Previous: 0.7%

DISCLAIMER

  • The above analysis represents the personal opinion of analyst Tony from Lotus and is not a basis for actual market participation.

  • Lotus provides technical trading analysis and trading education for students.

  • Lotus does not represent any securities or asset management firm.

  • Lotus does not manage funds on behalf of students.