Financial Storm: Gold Surges Past $3,800, Bitcoin on Fire, Oil Loses Ground

Release Time: 10:00, September 30, 2025
Publisher: Mr. Leon

MARKET OVERVIEW

1. Stock Market:

  • Vietnam Market:
    The market made efforts to climb and slightly broke above MA(20) at 1,663 points, although capital inflows remain cautious. Currently, the market is testing balance around MA(20); if buying power absorbs supply better, the uptrend will be reinforced. Otherwise, weak demand could trigger a correction once MA(20) is lost.

  • U.S. Market:
    On September 29, U.S. markets recovered modestly, led by technology stocks: S&P 500 gained ~0.3%, Nasdaq +0.5%, Dow Jones +0.1%. Capital is flowing into large-cap equities, while oil declined due to rising supply and cost-cut concerns. However, risks remain as a potential U.S. government shutdown could delay key economic data releases.

2. Forex:

  • GBP/USD: Downtrend, short positions may be considered. Daily resistance: 1.34500.

  • USD/JPY: Uptrend, long positions may be considered. Daily support: 148.500.

3. Gold:

  • Gold hit a fresh high above $3,800/oz, closing at $3,829.63/oz, fueled by concerns over a possible U.S. government shutdown and expectations of further Fed rate cuts.

  • December gold futures also rose ~1.2% to $3,855.20/oz.

  • Main drivers: strong safe-haven demand amid a weaker USD and U.S. fiscal risk concerns.

4. Oil:

  • XTI/USD failed to rally and is now fluctuating within a limited trading range.

5. Bitcoin:

  • BTC trades around $114,549, up ~+2.547% compared to the previous session.

  • Daily range: ~$111,590 – $114,776.

  • Strong buying momentum is in play, with potential for further gains if supported by fresh capital inflows or positive macro news.

RECOMMENDATIONS

  1. GBP/USD

  • Trend: Bearish

  • Sell at 1.34300, Stop Loss: 1.34700, Take Profit: 1.33500

  1. WTI Oil

  • Trend: Bearish

  • Sell at 62.840, Stop Loss: 64.2, Take Profit: 60

TODAY’S KEY EVENTS

DISCLAIMER

 

  • The above analysis reflects only the personal views of analyst Leon from Lotus and does not constitute investment advice.

  • Lotus only provides technical analysis and trading education to students.

  • Lotus does not represent any securities company or asset management firm.

  • Lotus does not manage students’ funds.