GOLD RECOVERY OR "DEAD CAT BOUNCE"? BITCOIN BUILDS BASE AT $91K AMIDST HESITATION

Release Time: 10:00, December 8, 2025 Issuer: Mr. Leon

MARKET OVERVIEW

1. Stock Market:

  • Vietnam Market: The market continues to gain points but shows signs of caution as many stock groups undergo correction. Decreased liquidity indicates slowing cash flow as the market approaches resistance zones. Cautious reactions at the 1,750–1,770 range may create pullback pressure early in the week, but the recovery trend established since Nov 12, 2025, remains supportive. Meanwhile, the 1,700–1,720 zone continues to serve as a crucial short-term support level.

  • US Market: The US market posted slight gains as investors await employment reports. The S&P 500 rose approximately +0.2%, Nasdaq edged up +0.3%, while the Dow Jones remained mostly flat. The 10-year bond yield stood around 4.17%, maintaining support for growth stocks. previously released ADP employment data showed an increase of only 103,000 – lower than expected – reinforcing expectations that the Fed may hold interest rates steady at the next meeting. Slight liquidity reduction suggests temporary market caution ahead of the Non-farm payrolls report. Overall, the short-term trend leans positive provided labor data presents no negative surprises.

2. Forex:

  • EUR/USD: Dominant trend is Bullish. Daily resistance: 1.16600; Daily support: 1.16000. Consider Long positions if price breaks the daily resistance zone.

  • GBP/USD: Dominant trend is Sideways. Daily resistance: 1.33600; Daily support: 1.33150. Consider Short positions if price breaks the daily support zone.

3. Gold: Price is recovering to the $4,210 zone after a strong sell-off to the short-term bottom of $4,196. Although Stochastic is pointing up indicating bottom-fishing momentum, the preceding bearish structure (from the $4,250 peak) remains heavy. This may be just a technical correction ("Dead Cat Bounce") before the Bears return.

4. Oil:

  • XTI/USD: Dominant trend is Sideways. Daily resistance: 60.90; Daily support: 60.00. Consider Long positions if price breaks the daily resistance zone.

5. Bitcoin: Trading around $91,430, attempting to build a new price base after successfully testing the $89,168 support zone. Volatility is narrowing; the market is hesitant between recovering back to $92k or testing the bottom once again.

RECOMMENDATIONS:

1. EUR/USD:

  • Buy Stop: 1.16630

  • Stop Loss: 1.16200

  • Take Profit: 1.17600

2. USD/JPY:

  • Recommendation: Sell at 155

  • Stop Loss: 155.660

  • Take Profit: 153.730

NOTABLE EVENTS TODAY: 

DISCLAIMER:

  • The above analysis represents the personal views of analyst Leon from Lotus and does not constitute a basis for actual market participation.

  • Lotus only provides technical trading analysis and trading knowledge training for students.

  • Lotus does not represent any securities company or asset management firm.

  • Lotus does not accept capital management for students.