News

Release Time: 10:00 AM, July 18, 2025
Published by: Mr. Tony

MARKET OVERVIEW

1. Stock Market

• Vietnam Market: The market continues its uptrend, surpassing the 1,480 threshold with improving liquidity, indicating strong capital inflows absorbing profit-taking pressure. This positive signal opens the possibility for further upward movement; however, the psychological resistance at 1,500 may trigger short-term selling pressure. The market is expected to fluctuate around this level depending on supply-demand dynamics in upcoming sessions.

• U.S. Market: On July 17, U.S. markets extended their strong rally, reaching new all-time highs across the three major indices. Closing figures:

  • S&P 500 rose by 0.52% to 6,297.36

  • Nasdaq rose by 0.71% to 20,884.27

  • Dow Jones rose by 0.53% to 44,484.49
    The main driver was the better-than-expected June retail sales growth of 0.6% and a decline in jobless claims, indicating a resilient U.S. economy.

2. Forex

• USD/JPY: Short-term downtrend. Selling opportunities today. Daily resistance: 148.750

3. Gold

• Spot Gold is trading around $3,340.02/oz.
  Gold is currently valued in the $3,340–$3,345/oz range with low volatility, reflecting stable demand and the influence of the USD and bond yields.

4. Oil

• XTI/USD: Downward trend. Short positions can be considered today. Daily resistance: $67

5. Crypto

• BTC/USD: Current price ~ $120,096, up +$1,620 (+1.37%) from the previous day.
  Intraday range: $117,715 – $120,691.
  Trading volume remains high, with continued support from institutional capital. Sentiment is positive, although resistance at the $120k–122k zone remains a challenge.

TRADE IDEAS

1. Vietnam Stock - PVS
   Recommendation: BUY PVS (18/07/2025)

   • Entry: 33,000 – 33,500 VND

   • Target 1: 36,000 VND

   • Target 2: 39,800 VND

   • Stop loss: 31,300 VND

   • 

2. NZD/USD
   Trend: Uptrend
   Recommendation:

   • Buy at: 0.59567

   • Stop loss: 0.58838

   • Take profit: 0.61156

   • 

KEY EVENTS TODAY

5:30 AM – USD

• FOMC Member Waller Speaks

6:30 AM – JPY

• Core CPI y/y:

  • Actual: 3.3% | Forecast: 3.4% | Previous: 3.7%

10:00 AM – NZD

• Credit Card Spending y/y:

  • Actual: Pending | Previous: 2.2%

1:00 PM – EUR

• German PPI m/m:

  • Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: -0.2%

3:00 PM – EUR

• Current Account:

  • Actual: €34.8B | Forecast: €19.8B

3:15 PM – EUR

• German Buba President Nagel Speaks

7:30 PM – USD

• Building Permits:

  • Actual: 1.39M | Forecast: 1.39M

• Housing Starts:

  • Actual: 1.29M | Forecast: 1.26M

9:00 PM – USD

• Preliminary UoM Consumer Sentiment:

  • Actual: 61.4 | Forecast: 60.7

• Preliminary UoM Inflation Expectations:

  • Actual: 5.0%

DISCLAIMER

• The above analysis reflects the personal views of analyst Tony from Lotus and should not be used as a basis for real-world trading.

• Lotus provides technical analysis and trading education only.

• Lotus does not represent any securities or asset management companies.

• Lotus does not manage funds on behalf of students.