Calm Before the Storm: Markets Accumulate Ahead of PCE – Who Will Break Out?

Release time: 10:00 – November 26, 2025
Issued by: Mr. Leon

MARKET OVERVIEW

1. Stock Market

– Vietnam Market:
The U.S. market on 25/11 recorded a slight uptick ahead of the holiday, reflecting stable investor sentiment. The S&P 500 increased 0.12% to 5,575 points, Nasdaq rose 0.18% led by tech stocks, while the Dow Jones moved sideways around 42,160 points. The 10-year Treasury yield held at 4.20%, signaling controlled inflation expectations. Economic data remained mild: Manufacturing PMI stayed below 50 (continuing industrial weakness), while Services PMI above 51 supported growth outlook. Markets are now focused on the upcoming PCE report — a key factor for expectations of Fed easing in Q1/2026.

– U.S. Market:
The market once again failed to break above the MA50 at the 1,668 zone and reversed lower, with rising volume showing stronger profit-taking pressure. This correction may continue in the coming sessions, but the recovery trend formed since 12/11/2025 remains supportive. The market is expected to find buying interest around 1,642–1,650 (near MA20) before attempting another retest of MA50.


2. Forex

  • GBP/USD: Uptrend remains intact. Daily support: 1.31500; daily resistance: 1.32200. Traders may consider long positions if price breaks above daily resistance.

  • USD/CHF: Sideways trend. Daily support: 0.80600; daily resistance: 0.81000. Traders may consider short positions if price breaks below daily support.


3. Gold

Gold is holding near a key psychological zone, supported by safe-haven demand — but remains under pressure if the USD strengthens further. Gold must hold its current support to avoid a deeper correction.


4. Oil

XTI/USD remains in a downtrend. Daily support: 57; daily resistance: 58.7. Buy positions may be considered if price breaks above 58.7.


5. Bitcoin

Bitcoin continues to consolidate around ~$88,000, showing market caution amid high volatility. A rebound may form if support holds; however, a breakdown could trigger further sharp declines.


TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS

  1. EUR/USD
    Sell: 1.15850
    Stop loss: 1.16100
    Take profit: 1.15272

  2. BTC
    Buy Stop: 88,200
    Stop loss: 87,000
    Take profit: 90,800


IMPORTANT EVENTS TODAY:


DISCLAIMER

 

  • The above analysis reflects the personal view of analyst Leon from Lotus and is not financial advice for real trading.

  • Lotus only provides technical analysis and trading education.

  • Lotus does not represent any securities firm or asset management company.

  • Lotus does not manage funds for students.