News

Release Time: 10:00, December 12, 2025 Issuer: Mr. Leon

MARKET OVERVIEW

1. Stock Market:

• Vietnam Market: The market continues to weaken and retreat to the 1,700 zone amidst decreasing liquidity, indicating cautious cash flow. Correction pressure may persist in upcoming sessions, pushing the index below MA20 towards the strong support zone around MA50 (1,680 points). However, the current decline is mainly a rebalancing act following the rally since Nov 12, 2025, and the market is expected to recover soon upon touching these support levels.

• US Market: The Dec 11 session saw the US market continue its ascent, with the S&P 500 closing at a record high of ~6,901.00 (+~0.2%) and the Dow Jones surging ~1.3% to ~48,704.01, while the Nasdaq Composite dipped slightly by ~0.3% due to pressure from tech stocks. Financials, materials, and small-caps led the gains, reflecting a rotation out of hot tech stocks and positive sentiment following Fed data and earnings reports. Despite tech weakness, the overall market demonstrates a recovery from previous volatility, with sentiment remaining cautious but not overly pessimistic.

2. Forex:

• USD/CAD: Dominant trend is Bearish. Daily resistance: 1.38000; Daily support: 1.37300. Consider Short positions if price breaks the daily support zone.

• AUD/USD: Dominant trend is Bullish. Daily resistance: 0.66700; Daily support: 0.66300. Consider Long positions if price breaks the daily resistance zone.

3. Gold: Price has plunged sharply to the $4,188 zone, erasing previous recovery efforts. Selling pressure from the $4,260 peak is immense. Currently, although the Stochastic indicator has hit the bottom (oversold) suggesting a slight rebound, the price structure remains very weak. If the $4,180 zone is breached, the decline will extend further.

4. Oil:

• XTI/USD: Dominant trend is Bearish. Daily resistance: 59.00; Daily support: 57.10. Consider Short positions if price breaks the daily support zone.

5. Bitcoin: Unlike Gold's straight rally, BTC just experienced a severe "liquidity sweep." Price pierced the psychological support of $90,000 down to near the $89,000 zone to "hunt" Long position Stop-losses, then withdrew miraculously back up to $92,181. The H1 candle with a long lower wick confirms this as a Bear Trap. The Bulls jumped in to bottom-fish decisively as soon as the price hit the oversold zone.

RECOMMENDATIONS:

1. NZD/USD:

• Sell Stop: 0.58000

• Stop Loss: 0.58250

• Take Profit: 0.57500
  

2. GOLD:

• Recommendation: Buy at 4251

• Stop Loss: 4224

• Take Profit: 4304
  

NOTABLE EVENTS TODAY: 

DISCLAIMER:

• The above analysis represents the personal views of analyst Leon from Lotus and does not constitute a basis for actual market participation.

• Lotus only provides technical trading analysis and trading knowledge training for students.

• Lotus does not represent any securities company or asset management firm.

• Lotus does not accept capital management for students.