[Dec 17, 2025] Market Outlook: Gold Returns to Bullish Trend, Bitcoin Retests $87,900 Resistance

Release Date: 10:00, December 17, 2025 Issuer: Mr. Loki

MARKET OVERVIEW

1. Stock Market:

  • Vietnam Market: The market recovered quickly from the oversold zone around 1,630 points. Improved liquidity suggests increasing supporting cash flow, effectively absorbing selling pressure after the sharp decline. In the short term, the MA100 remains a crucial support level. However, the rapid recovery has pushed the index close to the 1,700-point resistance (MA20), which could trigger supply and correction pressure. Thus, the market likely needs more time to accumulate and retest the MA100 support before forming a clearer trend.

  • US Market: On December 16, US markets saw mixed performance and a slight overall decline amid macroeconomic uncertainty. The S&P 500 fell ~0.24% to close near 6,800, the Dow Jones lost ~0.62% to ~48,114, while the Nasdaq Composite edged up ~0.23% to ~23,111 following mixed jobs data and plunging oil prices. Selling pressure persists, reflecting investor caution regarding growth prospects and monetary policy.

2. Foreign Exchange (Forex):

  • EUR/USD: Main trend is sideways. Daily Resistance: 1.17500; Daily Support: 1.17300. Consider a Long position if the price breaks above the resistance.

  • USD/CAD: Main trend is bullish. Daily Resistance: 1.37900; Daily Support: 1.37500. Consider a Long position if the price breaks above the resistance.

3. Gold:
Price is trading around $4,317, having decisively bounced off the EMA support zone. Bulls are in control as the price stays above all EMA lines. The short-term goal is to retest the previous peaks at $4,320 - $4,340. The short-term Bullish trend is returning.

4. Oil:
XTI/USD: Main trend is bearish. Daily Resistance: 57.90; Daily Support: 57.20. Consider a Long position only if the price breaks above the daily resistance.

5. Bitcoin:
BTC is seeing a technical recovery to $87,390 after yesterday's crash but is hitting a "ceiling" at the EMA 89 resistance (yellow line) around $87,891. This is a critical battleground. If it fails to break $87,900, the price could easily reverse to test the $86k bottom. The overall structure remains Bearish as it hasn't escaped overhead selling pressure.

TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS

  • BTC: Sell at 87,500 | Stop Loss: 88,350 | Take Profit: 85,484

  • AUD/USD: Sell Stop at 0.66100 | Stop Loss: 0.66700 | Take Profit: 0.64700

NOTABLE EVENTS TODAY

  • 12:45 AM (CAD): BOC Gov Macklem Speaks.

  • 2:00 PM (GBP): CPI y/y (Forecast: 3.5% | Previous: 3.6%).

  • 4:00 PM (EUR): German ifo Business Climate (Forecast: 88.2 | Previous: 88.1).

  • 8:15 PM (USD): FOMC Member Waller Speaks.

DISCLAIMER

  • The above opinions represent the personal views of Lotus analysts and are not a basis for actual market participation.

  • Lotus only provides technical analysis and trading education for students.

  • Lotus does not represent any securities or asset management companies and does not manage student funds.