OIL GOES PARABOLIC TO $110 - BITCOIN BREAKS BELOW 68K: A SHORT SQUEEZE MARKET SHOCK

MARKET OVERVIEW

Release Time: 10:00, March 12, 2026 Issuer: Ms. Leon

1. Stock Market:

  • Vietnam Market: The market recovered and tested the 1,818–1,850 points zone but weakened towards the end of the session as liquidity dropped, indicating that demand was not strong enough to overwhelm supply. A slight dip below the 1,818 support zone - where MA(20) and MA(50) converge - is warning of a short-term imbalance. If supporting cash flow does not improve soon, the risk of extending the market's corrective phase could increase.

  • US Market: In the March 06 session, Wall Street plummeted as oil prices surged and employment data disappointed, sparking fears of resurgent inflation. The S&P 500 fell about 1.3% to ~6,740 points, the Dow Jones lost ~0.95% to ~47,501 points, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped ~1.6% to ~22,387 points. Selling pressure broadened as investors shifted to a defensive stance amidst geopolitical risks and the prospect of a more cautious monetary policy from the Fed.

2. Forex:

  • EUR/USD: The chart clearly reflects the overwhelming strength of the USD today. The price is plunging sharply along a steep descending channel, trading around 1.15272.

  • USD/JPY: Moving counter to the trend of EU and Gold, demonstrating an extremely strong Uptrend structure. The price just made a decisive Breakout through the nearest resistance zone with solid green candle bodies, reaching the 158.713 mark.

3. Gold:

  • Gold is in a clear Downtrend on the M30 timeframe. The Moving Averages (MA) have expanded their downward crossing angle. The price continuously broke short-term supports and just experienced a steep drop to around $5,093, establishing Lower Highs and Lower Lows.

4. Oil:

  • The Oil chart is showing a panic state among short sellers (Short Squeeze). From the accumulation base around 88.00, the price gapped up and formed a vertical pillar approaching the 110.00 mark. This is an extreme Parabolic acceleration state, often associated with sudden macroeconomic news regarding geopolitics or supply chain disruptions.

5. Crypto (BTC):

  • BTC has completely lost its accumulation structure. The price violently pierced through the lower purple box zone (the previous critical support around 68k) and is free-falling to around $66,819. The bearish reversal structure has been confirmed.

RECOMMENDED PLAN:

1. Vietnam Stocks: VIP

  • Recommendation: WAIT TO BUY VIP (March 09, 2026)

  • Entry: 12,000 - 12,500 VND

  • Target 1: 14,000 VND | Target 2: 15,000 VND

  • Stop Loss: 11,500 VND

2. XAG/USD (Silver):

  • Sell Entry: 85.371

  • Stop Loss: 87.710

  • Take Profit: 80.690

NOTABLE EVENTS TODAY: 

DISCLAIMER:

  • The above analysis represents the personal views of analyst Leon from Lotus and does not constitute a basis for actual market participation.

  • Lotus only provides technical trading analysis and trading knowledge training for students.

  • Lotus does not represent any securities company or asset management firm.

  • Lotus does not accept capital management for students.