Morning Market Bulletin June 19: Fed Pressure, Geopolitics, and Important Trading Plans!

Release Time: 10:00 AM, June 19, 2025 Issuer: Mr. Leon

MARKET OVERVIEW

1. Stock Market:

  • Vietnam Market: The market has not yet overcome the resistance zone of 1,350 points and has returned to a hesitant state with low liquidity, indicating that supply is not strong. Capital flow remains hesitant and is awaiting clearer signals. The late-session uplift attempt opens an opportunity to re-test the 1,350-point zone in the next session, as this resistance will significantly impact the market's subsequent trend.
  • US Market: The market saw cautious movements with major indices largely flat, reflecting investor hesitancy amidst a "hawkish" message from the Fed. The S&P 500 closed at 5,980.87 points, Dow Jones edged down to 42,171.66 points, while Nasdaq saw a slight increase. Liquidity was average, and capital tended to flow into small-cap stocks as the Russell 2000 index rose by 0.5%. The Fed's continued maintenance of interest rates while maintaining a hawkish tone on inflation has prevented the market from breaking out strongly, especially amid ongoing geopolitical and monetary policy concerns.

2. Forex:

  • EUR/USD: Downtrend, may enter a sell position today, daily resistance: 1.15000
  • GBP/USD: Downtrend, may enter a sell position today, daily resistance: 1.34450
  • USD/JPY: Uptrend, may enter a buy position today, daily support: 144.700

3. Gold:

  • Current Price: 3,378 USD/ounce, up about +0.3% from the previous session.
  • Reasons:
    • Escalating Israel-Iran tensions create a wave of demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
    • Slight depreciation of the USD also supports the metal's upward momentum.
  • Short-term Assessment:
    • Gold is benefiting from safe-haven flows and geopolitical factors.
    • The next technical target could be the 3,400–3,420 USD zone, but close monitoring of tension developments and the USD is needed.

4. Oil:

  • XTI/USD: Uptrend, awaiting recovery, limited trading today.

5. Bitcoin:

  • Current Price: 104,807 USD, down slightly –0.19% from yesterday.
  • 24h Performance:
    • Fluctuated between 103,795–105,532 USD.
    • Shows slight correction signals after reaching previous highs.
  • Technical Analysis:
    • Price remains within a triangle pattern with support around 101,505 USD, resistance around 113,475 USD.
    • If it holds above the support zone, Bitcoin could bounce back. But a break below this zone would lead to a deeper correction, potentially even retesting 96,565 USD.

PLAN OVERVIEW

1. USD/JPY:

  • Uptrend
  • Buy at 145.167, stop loss 144.767, take profit 145.967

2. Vietnam Stock: MSB

  • Recommendation: BUY MSB (June 19, 2025), entry price 11,800 - 12,100 VND, target 1: 13,000 VND, target 2: 14,200 VND, stop loss 11,300 VND.

1. NOTABLE EVENTS TODAY:

  • 18:00 - GBP: Official Bank Rate

DISCLAIMER

  • The above analysis represents only the personal views of analyst Leon from Lotus, and should not be used as a basis for actual market participation.
  • Lotus only provides technical trading analysis and trading knowledge training for its students.
  • Lotus does not represent any securities companies or asset management companies.
  • Lotus does not manage students' funds.